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"The hubris of predictions - and our perpetual surprise when the not-predicted happens - are themes of Nassim Nicholas Taleb's engaging new book....It concerns the occurrence of the improbable, the power of rare events and the author's lament that 'in spite of the empirical record we continue to project into the future as if we were good at it.'" ( The New York Times)
Von Marc Dierckx Am hilfreichsten 18.08.2015
Fooled by being a human being
A must for everybody who thinks himself as an analytical person. Although fat tails have entered into the common knowledge of many of us, we still remain fooled by randomness and I only was able to utter "of course" after misinterpreting a good number of the examples.
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